At the risk of being contrary to all the bearish scenarios here,What i see on the daily charts is a higher low and a higher top in place, for me this a bull market now with an initial target of 5610, and if it takes out 22nd February high of 5632, i'll revise my long target to 6100.
Stop loss on longs being a breach of 5098, an area which proved to be a major consolidation zone for Nifty.
The risk to this bull market is dollar, which too is in a bull market with a similar higher low and a higher top formation.
Would we get USDINR at 60 and Nifty at 6100 at the same time? - Only time will tell.
Attached is the relevant Daily chart of Nifty.
Were it to take out the 2010 high as well, i'll further update the long/meduim term target to 7300. However, not to jump to that high as yet am having an immediate target of 5610 and there would review once again or on break of 5098.
I do expect a retest of 5197 in the coming days before this bull market resumes its rally and am a buyer on that dip.
Kapil Tandon.